Children of immigrants to make impact on 2012 elections

 

By the year 2012, children of California immigrants will make up at least 29 percent of all potential voters in the state, significantly impacting future elections, according to a recent study of California’s immigrant population.

Grantmakers Concerned with Immigrants and Refugees, a network of foundations focused on immigration and immigrant integration issues, released a study April 28 that calculated the state’s total number of naturalized citizens, eligible-to-naturalize citizens, and children of both populations who are 12-years-old and older.

 

According to the study, California is home to 4.2 million naturalized adult citizens and 2.3 million legal immigrants who are eligible to be naturalized, and the children of both populations could potentially make up 29 percent of California voters in 2012.

“[Grantmakers] is really interested in helping communities integrate immigrants into the fold,” said Daranee Petsod, executive director of grantmakers. “We believe the findings show that immigrants play a very crucial role in the vitality of our state.”

Integration Potential of California’s Immigrants and Their Children was prepared by Rob Paral and Associates, a consulting firm that helps various organizations understand the populations they serve and the ways in which those populations impact the organizations’ programs.

 

“This is a report about the civic potential of immigrants in California,” said Rob Paral, principal researcher for the Rob Paral and Associates. “It’s a topic that’s rarely discussed, even though it’s increasingly important. California, of course, is the center of immigration in the country that is the center for legal immigration throughout the world.”

The report’s findings came from the 2006 American Community Survey, the 2000 Census and data from the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services.

It is organized both by county and by state Senate and Assembly districts. It also details country of origin for naturalized and eligible-to-naturalize citizens.

According to the report, Santa Barbara County has more than 30,000 naturalized citizens; more than 20,000 citizens eligible to by naturalized; and more than 11,000 children of immigrants between the ages of 12 and 17-year-old.

 

Mexicans make up more than 50 percent of the legal immigrant population in the county, Europeans roughly 20 percent, Asians more than 17 percent and other immigrants nine percent.

The study also reports that the county has more than 11,000 children between the ages of 12 and 17 years old who will be eligible to vote by 2012. Latinos make up 80 percent of this population.

Paral said these demographics are spread throughout both Democratic and Republican districts, comprising more than one in three voters democratic districts and one in five in republican districts.

Though the statistics show that California should prepare for a surge of immigrant voters, there still is the issue of getting those demographics out to the polls, Paral said.

But Ouber Turnado, a student at the University of California at Berkeley whose parents are immigrants, said if the 2008 election was any indication of elections to come, California can expect to see the grantmakers’ predicted numbers in future election polls.

“This election has been really energetic for me and a lot of [Latinos],” he said.